Guidelines

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August 2019 Guidelines

Analysts at J.D. Power Valuation Services note the used vehicle market continues to perform strong into the summer months of 2019. Through July, used vehicle prices are on average 2.1% greater than during the same 7-month period in 2019. As a result, the J.D. Power Valuation Services' Seasonally Adjusted Used Vehicle Price Index increased by 0.6% – relative to June – to 122.7. Download the August Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Analysts from J.D. Power Valuation Services reported that as auction volume pulled back in July and pricing was mixed, there was a resurgence of interest in newer trucks, perhaps as a result of lower values. For the most part, dollars continue to flow only to the newest, lowest-mileage trucks. Download the August Commercial Truck Guidelines


July 2019 Guidelines

Analysts at J.D. Power Valuation Services note the used vehicle market performed strong over the first half of 2019. Specific to June, the market cooled, however, the month's performance was better than historic June figures. As a result, the J.D. Power Valuation Services' Seasonally Adjusted Used Vehicle Price Index increased by 1.3 points – relative to May – to 122.0. Download the July Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

In the July 2019 Commercial Truck Guidelines Industry Update, analysts from J.D. Power Valuation Services reported that after more than two years of expansion, it appears the nation may have finally reached and then exceeded the total number of trucks needed to move freight. As is typical in this type of environment, only the lowest-mileage trucks are currently bringing strong money. Download the July Commercial Truck Guidelines


June 2019 Guidelines

Analysts at J.D. Power Valuation Services note after abnormally strong March and April performances, the used vehicle market cooled slightly in May, although the month's performance was better than historic May figures. As a result, the J.D. Power Valuation Services' Seasonally Adjusted Used Vehicle Price Index increased by 1.2 points – relative to April – to 121.0. Download the June Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Class 8 Market Performing as Expected. Pricing down, volume up at auctions. Year-over-year pricing comparison down to 2.5%. Retail channel steady to mildly downward. Marketplace less tolerant of mileage. Medium duty market mixed. Class 6 had a down month. Download the June Commercial Truck Guidelines


May 2019 Guidelines

Used Vehicle Market Posts Strong April Performance, Used Vehicle Price Index Increases 2.5 Points. Wholesale Prices Increase in April. Prices up by an average of 1.4%. Used Vehicle Price Index Grows. UVPI reaches 119.9. New Vehicle Sales Decline. New sales down 5.6%, SAAR reaches 16.43M.Incentive Spending Declines. Incentive spending per unit fell 6.8% to $3,561. Download the May Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Class 8 Market Bolstered by Strong Economy… for Now. Class 8 auction pricing up unexpectedly. Lower sales volume caused swings in our averages. Class 8 retail pricing also ticked upwards. Dealers sold fewer trucks than last month, but at higher prices.
Medium duty segments flat to downwards. A newer mix of trucks has entered the market in recent months. Download the May Commercial Truck Guidelines


April 2019 Guidelines

Used Vehicle Prices Increase for the 1st Time in 6 Months, Used Vehicle Price Index Increases 1.1 Points.Wholesale Prices Increase in March. Prices up by an average of 2.7%. Used Vehicle Price Index Grows. UVPI reaches 117.5. New Vehicle Sales Struggle. New sales down 2.2%, SAAR reaches 17.48M. Incentive Spending Declines. Incentive spending per unit fell 5.2% to $3,799. Download the April Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Market Conditions Unfold as Seasonal Activity Heats Up. Auction market generally weaker month-over-month. Late-model trucks averaging 3.9% depreciation in 2019. Retail market looking more historically typical. Depreciation moderately higher than this time last year. Medium duty trucks had a weak month. All three segments we track returned lower volume and pricing. Download the April Commercial Truck Guidelines


March 2019 Guidelines

The used vehicle market continued its sluggish start to the new year, as a result the J.D. Power Valuation Servicesí Seasonally Adjusted Used Vehicle Price Index declined 1.3 points ñ relative to January ñ to 116.1. Februaryís decline marked the sixth consecutive month of declines in the used market and is a trend we should expect to see more of throughout the course of 2019 as used vehicle prices are expected to decline relative to 2018.  Download the March Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Demand for used trucks with desirable specs and mileage is still strong. Units with less desirable specs and mileage continue to lose value. Heavier-GVW medium duty trucks had a very strong month. Download the March Commercial Truck Guidelines


February 2019 Guidelines

The used vehicle market slowed once again in January, marking the fifth consecutive month of decline. While January results are typically flat to down slightly, this year’s performance was significantly weaker because of weather related challenges resulting from the polar vortex as well as the government shutdown which lasted 35 days. Millions of people were affected because of these events, potentially disrupting both new and used vehicle purchases during the period. As a result, the J.D. Power Valuation Services’ Seasonally Adjusted Used Vehicle Price Index declined by 2.7 points – relative to December – to 117.2. Despite the index’s sharp decline, it currently sits 2.3% above January 2018’s level.  Download the February Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Trucks sold in January continue to bring strong money, with depreciation essentially nonexistent month-over-month. There appear to have been fewer buyers in January, but those who did write a check were paying similar money to last month. Download the February Commercial Truck Guidelines


January 2019 Guidelines

Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidlines: Used Vehicle Prices Increase by 2.9% in 2018. Wholesale Prices Decline in December. Prices down by an average of 2.2%. Used Vehicle Price Index Down. Index falls to 119.6. New Vehicle Sales Increase in 2018. New vehicle sales reach 17.22M units. Incentive Spending Declines. Incentives decrease by 3.6% to $4,278 per unit. Download the January Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Commercial Truck Guidelines: Class 8 Auction market little changed. Market has less tolerance for higher mileage. Class 8 retail conditions stable. Sales volume down notably in November and December. Medium Duty market generally weak in December. Cabovers and heavier conventionals down notably. Download the January Commercial Truck Guidelines
 


December 2018 Guidelines

Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidlines: Wholesale prices decline once again in November.Prices down by an average of 3.5%.Used Vehicle Price Index Down. Index falls to 119.7.New Vehicle Sales Inch Up. Sales remain relatively flat, new vehicle SAAR reaches 17.46 million. Incentive Spending Declines. Incentives decrease for second time since April 2015. Download the December Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Commercial Truck Guidelines: Auction volume back up to a typical level. Pricing less stable. Retail channel seeing mild depreciation. Volume was lower than previous months. Medium duty conditions similar to last month. Most segments saw stable pricing and volume. Download the December Commercial Truck Guidelines

 


November 2018 Guidelines

Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines: After decelerating in September, the used vehicle market slowed for the second consecutive month in October. As a result, the J.D. Power Valuation Services' Seasonally Adjusted Used Vehicle Price Index declined 1 point - relative to September - to 120.6. Despite the month's decline, on a year-to-date (YTD) basis the index is 2.8% above 2017's level. Download the November Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Commercial Truck Guidelines: October auctions point to continued shortage of late-model trucks. Auctions once again had a low-volume month, defying predictions of an increased number of trades hitting the market. The retail channel had another strong month. Medium duty trucks largely recovered from a September dip. Download the November Commercial Truck Guidelines

 


October 2018 Guidelines

Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines: After three consecutive months of unprecedented strength, the used vehicle market slowed in September. As a result, the J.D. Power Valuation Services Seasonally Adjusted Used Vehicle Price Index declined by 0.4 points - relative to August - to 121.6. Despite the index's small decline, it remains at its highest level since November 2015, and through September 2018, it has improved by an average of 2.5% compared to full-year 2017 results. Download the October Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Commercial Truck Guidelines: An increase in the number of new trucks delivered should be creating a higher volume of late-model used trucks to sell. Medium duty trucks were generally down, with lighter-GVW units once again leading the market.Download the October Commercial Truck Guidelines

 


September 2018 Guidelines

Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines: Used vehicle prices in August improved relative to July and ended the month even stronger than expected. As a result, the J.D. Power Valuation Services' Seasonally Adjusted Used Vehicle Price Index increased by 2.2 points - relative to July - to 121.9. Download the September Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Commercial Truck Guidelines: August market looked a lot like July. Used truck supply remains tight, with strong pricing. Download the September Commercial Truck Guidelines

 


August 2018 Guidelines

Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines: The Used Vehicle Price Index rises 1 point in July. Continuing the trends observed over the past several months, the used vehicle market performed exceptionally well once again in July. July's robust performance grew the index 4.7 percentage points above the same period in 2017 and 4.8 points above January 2018's level. Download the August Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Commercial Truck Guidelines: A higher volume of sleeper tractors cycled through auctions in June, but demand is still outstripping supply. Medium duty conventionals recovered ground, while cabovers were steady. Download the August Commercial Truck Guidelines

 


July 2018 Guidelines

Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines: June was an especially strong month for the used vehicle market, therefore increasing the J.D. Power Valuation Services' Seasonally Adjusted Used Vehicle Price by 1.2 points-compared with May- to reach 118.2. June's above-average performance brought the index 4.1 points above June 2017, and 3.8 points above January 2018. Download the July Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Commercial Truck Guidelines: A higher volume of sleeper tractors cycled through auctions in June, but demand is still outstripping supply. Medium duty conventionals recovered ground, while cabovers were steady.Download the July Commercial Truck Guidelines

 


June 2018 Guidelines

Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines: The used vehicle market turned in a typical performance for the May period. As a result, the J.D. Power Valuation Services' Seasonally Adjusted Used Vehicle Price Index remained flat-compared to April- at 117.0. May's performance brought the index 3.1 points above May 2017's level, and 2.5 points above where it sat in January 2018. Download the June Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Commercial Truck Guidelines: The predicted supply increase of Class 8 trucks had not yet come to pass as of May. Stronger demand is absorbing any additional trucks that become available.Download the June Commercial Truck Guidelines

 


May 2018 Guidelines

Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines: The used vehicle market performed well in April as prices were stronger than originally anticipated. The month's performace was strong enough to increase J.D. Power Valuation Services’ Seasonally Adjusted Used Vehicle Price Index by 1 point-compared to March-and reached 117.1. Download the May Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Commercial Truck Guidelines: The volume of Class 8 trades has been lower than predicted, which means pricing has been more stable than expected. Download the May Commercial Truck Guidelines

 


April 2018 Guidelines

Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines: The used vehicle market performed exceptionally well in March. Wholesale prices of used vehicles up to 8 years in age increased by an average of 2.5%. While prices were expected to increase in March, the outcome was better than anticipated. As a result, the J.D. Power Valuation Services’ Seasonally Adjusted Used Vehicle Price Index increased 0.9 points to 115.9. This increase brought the index 2.5 point above the March 2017 level. Download the April Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Commercial Truck Guidelines: Market mixed as first quarter closes out. March auction performance was somewhat better than expected, while February retail pricing showed expected depreciation. Medium duty trucks were down notably. Download the April Commercial Truck Guidelines

 


March 2018 Guidelines

Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines: Wholesale prices of used vehicles up to 8 years in age fell by an average of 0.2% in February. While prices weren't quite as strong as originally anticipated, the month's performance was directionally in line with recent February results and better than February 2017's 0.9% decline. Download the March Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Commercial Truck Guidelines: Used truck market unfolding as expected. February data showed a used truck market operating as expected. Supply continues to dictate pricing, but demand should be mildly improving. Medium duty trucks continue to recover. Download the March Commercial Truck Guidelines

 


February 2018 Guidelines

Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines: Wholesale prices of used vehicles up to 8 years in age fell by an average of 0.6% in January. The sluggish start to the new year resulted in the J.D. Power Valuation Services Seasonally Adjusted Used Vehicle Price Index declining slightly. As a result, the index fell by 0.6-points (0.5%) reaching 114.2 Download the February Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Commercial Truck Guidelines: Class 8 market looked positive in early 2018, with December's retail pricing back up and January's auction results similar to December's despite limited activity. Medium duty trucks had a notably up month. Download the February Commercial Truck Guidelines

 


January 2018 Guidelines

Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines: Wholesale prices of used vehicles up to 8 years in age fell by an average of 2.3% in December. The period was weaker than normal. As a result, the J.D. Power Valuation Services’ Seasonally Adjusted Used Vehicle Price Index declined slightly. Ultimately, the index fell by 1 point (0.9%) reaching 114.8. On an annual basis, in 2017 the index declined by 3%* compared to 2016. Download the January Used Car & Light-Duty Truck Guidelines

Commercial Truck Guidelines: Class 8 trucks closed out 2017 with the auction channel looking more stable than the retail channel, although we are not typically concerned about recent depreciation in the retail sector. Medium duty trucks continued their mixed performance. Volume of the most common super tractors auctioned in December increased for the second month in a row. Pricing was again very similar month-over-month. Download the January Commercial Truck Guidelines


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